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Independent Australia
 


Dear Raymond,

 

As the 2025 Federal Election draws nearer, the leaders of both the ALP and L-NP have faced off in their first debate.

 
 

If you believe anything the right-wing media says, you'd think that Opposition Leader Peter Dutton won hands down. Social media erupted with congratulations for Dutton, with online commentators a tad disappointed when the official result came in.

Anthony Albanese has had his fair share of faults and justified criticism throughout his PMship, but he's done a banger of a job compared to Trump Lite and what he's proposing should he claim victory on 3 May.

One thing the Coalition has excelled at is slandering Labor and blaming the country's problems on them, despite many of them being caused by the Coalition in the first place.

To get to the truth, from Tuesday this week right until Election day on May 3, we are featuring a series of short fact-checking article by prominent economist and revered IA columnist Stephen Koukoulas. Every day he will bust another hoary myth and is not to be missed. 

This week's editorial is brought to you by IA founder and fomer editor Dave Donovan, who analyses some of the political lies and deceptions designed to dupe Australians into voting for either party. Worth reading below!

 

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IA BOOK CLUB

We've got a double-shot in this week's IA Book Club with two amazing books to give away!

Dutton Deconstructed by Pat Comben poses the question: Can Australia risk electing Peter Dutton as prime minister?

‘With its comprehensive inclusion of observations, comments and opinions, along with published quotes from the man himself, this book should ring alarm bells for many Australians.’

We also have a copy of the brand new Anti-Fascists: Jim McNeill and his mates in the Spanish Civil War by Michael Samaras, the story of Australia's pioneers against fascism.

Either of these fabulous books could be yours for FREE! Read on below!

 
EDITORIAL: Factchecking the leaders on cost of living, budget repair and Gaza
 
 
EDITORIAL: Factchecking the leaders on cost of living, budget repair and Gaza
 
 

In a rare memorable moment during a rather desultory Federal election leaders’ debate on Tuesday this week, Anthony Albanese accused Peter Dutton of gaslighting the Australian people.

The comment was made in reference to energy policy, with the PM saying the “only gas policy that the Coalition [has is] gaslighting the Australian people”. But it could equally apply to many other Dutton claims, both during the debate and elsewhere. Independent Australia will correct some of the more outrageous claims here with irrefutable evidence, because facts are important.

In this piece, we unpick claims made by Dutton during this week’s debate about inflation, energy policy and budget management. We will also be discussing a dubious claim made by Albanese in the debate on Australian arms sales to Israel. 

It should be noted that there was also a rather chaotic Treasurers’ debate on Wednesday between Jim Chalmers and Opposition Treasury Spokesperson Angus Taylor. Unfortunately, Taylor’s reference to facts in his responses was so tangential, almost always referencing unsupported or misleading statistics, that virtually all his testimony could be classed as spin.

FACTCHECKING THE LEADERS’ DEBATE

There were many other issues that could have been included in this section, including crime, international relations and health spending. For the sake of brevity, however, we will focus on the issues outlined earlier.

COST OF LIVING / ENERGY INFLATION

With inflation steepling globally during the COVID pandemic, the cost of living has hit Australians hard.

Hoping to make hay on this topic, Dutton referred to this issue several times in his statements, saying “it was confronting” to see so many people “struggling with the cost of living”. Dutton accused the Albanese Government of not doing enough to ease cost of living pressures and argued that the Coalition could “deal with the cost-of-living crisis more effectively”. This was supported by Liberal Party attack ads during commercial breaks alleging that inflation under Labor was out of control.

Dutton’s rhetoric about the Coalition dealing with the crisis effectively is easily dismissed since inflation began spiralling under the previous Morrison Government. Indeed, the largest yearly increases in the CPI were during their regime. However, since it was a global crisis, it is difficult to hold them solely responsible. 

What we can safely say is that the Albanese Government has, during its term, rapidly brought inflation down, from record highs to now being below the RBA target margin of 3%. 


 
Dutton also claimed the energy prices were going through the roof under Albanese, for which he offered a vague nuclear policy, increased support for fossil fuels (literal gas lighting) and a cut to the fuel excise.

However, official figures show that over the past 12 months, energy prices have fallen by 12% ─ the best in the developed world by far.


 
With this in mind, it is difficult to describe Dutton’s claims on inflation as being anything other than puff.

BUDGET MANAGEMENT

Modern monetary theorists will say that surpluses don’t matter, but this article is not about economic theory. In terms of Australian elections, the Liberal Party has weaponised the idea that Labor is the big-spending party of “debt and deficit”. We can all remember the famous 2019 “Back in Black” Morrison/Frydenberg budget of 2019, including coffee mugs.

Of course, that was a projected surplus that never happened. Morrison lost power and Frydenberg lost his own seat, which suggests that for the public, public debt matters.

Dutton, during the debate, chastised Albanese for not doing enough to promote “budget repair” and, despite saying he wasn’t doing enough to ease the cost of living, criticised the PM’s recent tax cuts for the less well-off. 

It was quite a jumble of rhetoric, but what was clear from the official figures is that the only Government to have delivered an actual surplus in more than a decade was the current Labor Government


 
All this indicates that Dutton’s claims about the Labor Party's budget management ineptitude are false.

ARMS TO ISRAEL?

During the leader’s debate, the News Corp-hosted event surprised many by allowing a question on the Palestinian conflict to slip through. 

In it, a young audience member asked leaders what they would do to address the “fact” that at this moment, “our taxes are going towards the funding of weaponry aiding the onslaught on the innocent people of Gaza”.

Anthony Albanese, in his reply, stated that “no Australian weaponry involved in what is going on in Gaza. That is just not the case.“

This backed up the Government’s claim that no Australian-made arms or ammunition have been supplied to Israel in the past five years. 

However, as Amnesty International has pointed out:

[B]ecause of Australia’s opaque approval process for arms transfers, we don’t know what arms are exported, to what country, or for what purpose. The reality is that even if Australian-made arms are not being used by Israel in Gaza, it is impossible for Australians to know.’

In fact, in June last year, the Government stated it had granted eight permits to export defence-related equipment to Israel since the Palestinian conflict began in October 2023. It claimed most of the items were being sent to Israel for repair and then returned to Australian military and law enforcement.

However, as the result of questions being put to parliamentarians, it has been discovered that this reporting, however, does not capture sub-components that are manufactured in Australia and sent to a central repository overseas to be used in a larger platform. These include parts Australia makes for F-35 jets, amongst many other items, which can then be sent to Israel from the U.S. or Europe.

The Government could bring in legislation to prevent this possibility from occurring, but it has not.

All of this makes its claim about not supplying arms to Israel impossible to verify and dubious at best.

CONTINUING TO CHECK

Facts are important. So important, in fact, that from Tuesday this week and every day up until the election on 3 May, we will be running a series of short factual articles by outstanding economist Stephen Koukoulas, who will be diffusing many of the more gaseous economic furphies being perpetrated upon the Australian people during this election campaign.

You can see Stephen's fact-checking stories so far HERE, HERE and HERE.

If there were truth in political advertising laws, we possibly wouldn’t need to do this, but there isn’t, so we do. Don’t miss this series and make sure you share the truth widely, because reality is a precious commodity in this “Trumpified” world. 

Yet another reason to keep subscribing to Independent Australia.

Follow Dave Donovan on Twitter @davrosz and Independent Australia on Twitter/X @independentaus and Facebook HERE.

 

(See more cartoons by Mark David at Mark David Cartoons, on Twitter @MDavidCartoons and throughout this newsletter.)
 
 
SUBSCRIPTION UPDATE
 
 

It is incredible to think that Independent Australia will turn 15 later this year. It is rather an achievement, we think, given the difficulty in running a fearlessly independent news service in Murdoch-dominated Australia. We are pretty proud of how it’s all gone — and we hope you are, too!

Earlier this year, on 6 February, it was ten years since we began to sell subscriptions. Without the support of paid subscribers like you, we would have disappeared about… oh, say… nine years ago.

Believe it or not, we have never increased the cost of subscriptions over those ten years — not even once! Of course, this can’t go on forever. 

As you know, everything is much more expensive than it was even a year ago, let alone ten. Lately, IA has been really feeling the pinch.

So, on 16 April, we will be introducing a very modest increase to subscription prices:

  • Supporters: from $5 month/$50 year to $6 per month/$60 year
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The IA team

 
 
 
 
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LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
 

Gaza's hidden death toll cannot be ignored

 

As estimated from data and methodology published in The Lancet, in the first two years of the Gaza genocide, 875,000 Gazans died — from violence: 175,000 and deprivation: 700,000 (this includes 325,000 children, 205,000 women and 342,000 men).

However, Western media and now Israel assert 70,000 Gaza deaths from violence, ignoring huge indirect deaths from deprivation. Some academics claim that indirect deaths are only 11% of the direct deaths from violence.

Thus Spagat et al claim non-violent deaths translate to 13,065 such deaths per year in Gaza – they are astonishingly asserting that the non-violent mortality rate is lower in besieged, bombed and utterly devastated Gaza (0.561% per year) than in rich and peaceful Australia with world-leading universal health care (0.688% per year).

A U.S. academic, Nicolas Sawaya, claims that at least 111,000 Gazans have been killed in total, with this including 11,000 indirect deaths – however, this absurdly yields an “annual excess mortality as a percentage of population” of 0.165 for utterly devastated Gaza, lower than that of 0.178 for peaceful Swaziland (Eswatini).

The UK Guardian reporting a Gaza survey says that almost all the children (96%) felt their death was imminent and 49% actually wished to die.

Silence is complicity.

Dr Gideon Polya
(Macleod, VIC)

IA BOOK CLUB

Landslide: The 2025 Australian Federal Election
~ Edited by Marian Sawer, Jill Sheppard, John Warhurst

If you subscribe to IA and would like to pen a readable 400 to 750-word review of the book below, reply to this email now with ‘I want to review Landslide'.

If you are the first to respond, we'll send you the book — for free!

 

The 2025 Australian federal election saw an unexpected landslide victory for the Labor Party, the Liberal Party’s worst ever result and the continued rise of the non-major-party vote.

In this book, Australia’s leading election analysts explore what contributed to this outcome, including the effectiveness of party and third-party campaigns, the changing demography of the electorate and external factors such as the ‘Trump effect’.

Baby boomers were outnumbered in 2025 by Gen Z and Millennials, who related to politics in a different way. Those pursuing their votes needed to do so through social media; influencers and podcasts became central to campaigning, as did humour appropriating popular culture with the help of AI.

Increased cultural and linguistic diversity was also important, and there were new efforts to mobilise Muslim voters over the war in Gaza. Overshadowing it all was Trump. While populist themes seemed attractive at first, association with Trump quickly became a liability and contributors here examine the difficulty of changing discourses mid-campaign.

This authoritative study is indispensable in understanding the new political landscape: polls and voting behaviour, misinformation, gender issues and competing leadership styles. Richly illustrated, the role of visual politics also receives close scrutiny.

Landslide is the 19th book in the ANU Press Australian Federal Election series. The series is sponsored by the Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia.

 
 
 

IA BOOK CLUB

Albert, Alan and the Gutkut
~ Alan and Joan McColl

 
 

If you subscribe to IA and would like to pen a readable 400 to 750-word review of the book below, reply to this email now, with, ‘I want to review Albert, Alan and the Gutkut'.

If you are the first to respond, we'll send you the book — for free!

272x180x1

From being a Gippslander with a grandfather from Scotland who built boats, to being on a small boat in Blue Mud Bay in Arnhem Land as a policeman searching for Yolngu people who had speared some Japanese trepang fisherman, Albert McColl's life was full of adventure until he mysteriously met his untimely death from a spearing on Woodah Island in the Northern Territory in 1933.

Yolngu leader Dhakiyarr Wirrpanda took responsibility for the spearing, lost a court case, was the first Aboriginal person to have a case heard at the High Court of Australia where his appeal was upheld, then mysteriously disappeared.

Seventy years later Dhakiyarr’s family held a Wukidi ceremony in Darwin for Dhakiyarr and followed that by doing something that had never been done before. They presented Albert’s nephew, Alan (closest male relative) with a feathered head piece, a “gutkut”, that has great Yolngu legal and spiritual value, apologised to “McColl’s” family and asked for reconciliation and to walk “hand in hand”. The McColl and Wirrpanda families are still working to achieve that despite living at opposite ends of Australia.

 
 
 
Feature Articles
 
 
 
Getting tough for mainstream media liars to ignore economic facts
 
Getting tough for mainstream media liars to ignore economic facts
 
 

More data has emerged confirming the Liberal-led Coalition's cost-of-living crisis is now behind us, but mainstream journalists don't share it. Alan Austin reports. SPARE A THOUGHT for the sorry losers paid to report Australia’s economy. Instructions from on high – whether from Rupert Murdoch, Gina Rinehart, Institute of Publ [ read online ]

China takes the helm in countering Trump's tariff offensive
 
China takes the helm in countering Trump's tariff offensive
 
 

Trump's latest move in his ongoing trade war drew the ire of many global economies, with China delivering swift retaliation, writes Imran Khalid. IN WHAT MAY go down as a historic miscalculation, U.S. President Donald Trump declared 2 April 2025 as “Tariff Liberation Day”, a grandiose attempt to re-frame protectionism as pat [ read online ]

 
 
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