LOGIN SHOP
Politics

Morgan Poll shows Labor in front

By | | comments |

This week’s Morgan Poll, the second since Kevin Rudd became Prime Minister, shows another swing to the ALP. The ALP is now at 51.5% (up 2% since last Wednesday’s snap SMS Morgan Poll), ahead of the L-NP 48.5% (down 2%) on a two-party preferred basis.

0107132PP

This is the ALP’s largest lead since December 2012, on the eve of Christmas, when the ALP was on 52.5% against the L-NP 47.5%.

The L-NP primary vote is 40.5% (down 2.5%) slightly ahead of the ALP 39.5% (up 1.5%). Among the minor parties, Greens support is 8.5% (unchanged) and support for Independents/ Others is 11.5% (up 1%) — including within that support for Katter’s Australian Party of 1.5% and support for the Palmer United Party of 1.5%.

If a Federal Election were held today, the result would be a close ALP win according to this weekend’s multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,438 Australian electors aged 18+.

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has improved strongly after Rudd’s return – up 12.5pts to 106 – the highest since mid-March 2013. Now 43.5% (up 5%) say Australia is ‘heading in the right direction’ and 37.5% (down 7.5%) say Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

0107132Confidence

Analysis by Gender 

Analysis by Gender shows both genders again swinging towards the ALP after Rudd’s return. Women now clearly favour the ALP (54%, up 3%) cf. L-NP (46%, down 3%) on a two party preferred basis, while men favour the L-NP (51.5%, down 1%) against ALP (48.5%, up 1%).

(Methodology: Electors were asked: “If an election for the House of Representatives were held today — which party would receive your first preference?”. This multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention was conducted over the last few days via Face-to-Face, Internet and SMS interviewing, June 28-30, 2013 with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,438 Australian electors aged 18+, of all electors surveyed 1.5% (down 0.5%) did not name a party. For the full results go to the Roy Morgan website.)

Creative Commons Licence

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Australia License

 
Recent articles by
IA Special Podcasts: 'Seven Dollars Thirty' with Gorge Crispychickenson

ABC Seven Dollars Thirty’s political editor Tara Lingual interviews outspoken ...  
Bloody Idiot of the Week — Episode 19: Gold standard edition

Rolled gold standards abound in our final idiot edition for 2020.  
Vale Mungo MacCallum — a true progressive voice gone

Independent Australia founder and director David Donovan pays tribute to one of ...  
Join the conversation
comments powered by Disqus

Support IAIndependent Australia

IA is dedicated to providing fearless, independent journalism, free for all, with no barriers. But we need your help. To keep us speaking truth to power, please consider donating to IA today - even a dollar will make a huge difference - or subscribe and receive all the benefits of membership. Keep ‘em honest. Support IA.

Close Subscribe Donate