Last weekend's Morgan Poll, the third since Kevin Rudd became Prime Minister, shows another significant swing to the ALP. ALP is at 54.5% – up 3% since the previous week’s multi-mode Morgan Poll – ahead of the L-NP 45.5% (down 3%) on a two-party preferred basis.
The ALP primary vote is up 2% to 41.5%, ahead of the L-NP primary vote at 39.5% (down 1%).
Among the minor parties, Greens support is 8.5% (unchanged) and support for Independents/ Others is 10.5% (down 1%). Within others, support for Katter’s Australian Party is 1.5% and support for the Palmer United Party of 1.5%.
The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has improved slightly – up 1pt to 107 – the highest since mid-March 2013. Now 43% (down 0.5%) say Australia is ‘heading in the right direction’ and 36% (down 1.5%) say Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.
Analysis by Gender shows both genders again swinging towards the ALP after Rudd’s return. Women now clearly favour the ALP (57%, up 3%) cf. L-NP (43%, down 3%) on a two party preferred basis. Even men now favour the ALP (51.5%, up 3%) cf. L-NP (48.5%, down 3%).
Methodology: This multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention was conducted over the last few days via Face-to-Face, Internet and SMS interviewing, July 5-7, 2013 with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,521 Australian electors aged 18+, of all electors surveyed 1.0% (down 0.5%) did not name a party. Electors were asked: “If an election for the House of Representatives were held today — which party would receive your first preference?” For more information on this poll see the Roy Morgan website.
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