Politics

Morgan shows Labor in poll position to win Federal election

By | | comments |

Last weekend's Morgan Poll, the third since Kevin Rudd became Prime Minister, shows another significant swing to the ALP. ALP is at 54.5% – up 3% since the previous week’s multi-mode Morgan Poll – ahead of the L-NP 45.5% (down 3%) on a two-party preferred basis.



The ALP primary vote is up 2% to 41.5%, ahead of the L-NP primary vote at 39.5% (down 1%).

Among the minor parties, Greens support is 8.5% (unchanged) and support for Independents/ Others is 10.5% (down 1%). Within others, support for Katter’s Australian Party is 1.5% and support for the Palmer United Party of 1.5%.

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has improved slightly – up 1pt to 107 – the highest since mid-March 2013. Now 43% (down 0.5%) say Australia is ‘heading in the right direction’ and 36% (down 1.5%) say Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.



Analysis by Gender shows both genders again swinging towards the ALP after Rudd’s return. Women now clearly favour the ALP (57%, up 3%) cf. L-NP (43%, down 3%) on a two party preferred basis. Even men now favour the ALP (51.5%, up 3%) cf. L-NP (48.5%, down 3%).

Methodology: This multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention was conducted over the last few days via Face-to-Face, Internet and SMS interviewing, July 5-7, 2013 with an Australia-wide cross-section of 3,521 Australian electors aged 18+, of all electors surveyed 1.0% (down 0.5%) did not name a party. Electors were asked: “If an election for the House of Representatives were held today — which party would receive your first preference?” For more information on this poll see the Roy Morgan website.


This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Australia License
 
 
Recent articles by admin
The psychology of colours in web design and their influence on buying decisions

Colour is not an eye property — colour is a feeling stimulus with the ability of ...  
5 Ways to optimise your revenue through digital marketing

The ultimate goal of any business is to improve its overall sales. A key indicator ...  
How to contest a will in Australia

Challenging a will can be a daunting experience, but understanding the process can ...  
Join the conversation
comments powered by Disqus

Support Fearless Journalism

If you got something from this article, please consider making a one-off donation to support fearless journalism.

Single Donation

$

Support IAIndependent Australia

Subscribe to IA and investigate Australia today.

Close Subscribe Donate