Politics Analysis

Trump’s Republican death cult soon to lose office

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Donald Trump’s regime has presided over hundreds of thousands of preventable American deaths. Alan Austin assesses the tragic toll.

THE STATES IN THE USA which have most avidly supported soon-to-be-ex-President Donald Trump have paid a heavy price for their fealty. Deaths from suicide, gun violence and the COVID-19 pandemic have been much higher there than where Trump’s toxic authority has been rejected.

Human life devalued

Few other leaders of advanced democracies have denied the science on the COVID-19 pandemic as has Trump. Few, if any, have disregarded the human cost of economic mismanagement.

No other American president has urged his supporters to lash out against political opponents with violence as vehemently as has Donald Trump.

Since 2015, he has said:

  • I’d like to knock the crap out of them.
  • I’d like to punch him in the face, I tell ya.
  • Maybe he should be roughed up a little.
  • You know, part of the problem is nobody wants to hurt each other anymore, right?
  • The audience hit back. That's what we need a little bit more of.
  • If you see somebody getting ready to throw a tomato, knock the crap out of them, would you?
  • Any guy that can do a body slam, he is my type!
  • Three weeks in, Joe’s shot, let’s go, Kamala, you ready? Most liberal person in the Senate.
  • I remember this guy Welshi. He got hit on the knee with a canister of tear gas and he went down... Wasn't it really a beautiful sight? It's called law and order.

Gun deaths

There is no ready measure of physical assaults motivated by political enmity. But firearm violence is recorded by Gun Violence Archive and others. This has increased significantly under Trump.

Total deaths by gun – willful, malicious and accidental – are up 8.6% in 2020 over 2016. Gun injuries are up 11.2%. Teenagers killed or injured are up 11.2%.

Mass shooting incidents in 2020 have increased by a staggering 45.8% over 2016 — up from 382 to 557. That’s just to 11 November. The year is not yet over. (The definition of a mass shooting in this database is an event resulting in four or more deaths or injuries.)

Violence by political affiliation

The 50 U.S. states can readily be divided into those which voted for Trump in the 3 November Presidential Election and those which supported President-elect Joe Biden. There were 25 of each.

The latest data from the Centre for Disease Control for 2018 shows Trump-supporting states had much higher rates of firearm deaths. Biden states overall recorded 9.9 deaths per 100,000 population. The Trump states recorded 15.1. The highest six states all went for Trump, as did 14 out of the worst-hit 16. See graph, below.

Deaths from the COVID-19 pandemic

A strikingly similar pattern emerges with current coronavirus deaths. Since infections surged in September, there have been 88,199 fatalities in the 50 states. Deaths in the Trump states are running at 235.7 per million population. In the Biden states, just 130.8.

Of the worst-hit 20 states, 17 are Trump states and three are Biden’s. See blue graph, below.

Farmer suicides

Exports from the USA began to decline in 2017 when Trump abandoned several trade treaties and imposed unilateral tariffs. Worst affected were primary producers who, in record numbers, have lost their savings, forfeited their farms and taken their own lives.

A damning report into the impact of Trump’s trade wars has just been published by the US-China Business Council.

It found:

Goods exports to China have fallen to their lowest level since 2011. U.S. goods exports to China contracted 11.4% in 2019 to $104.8 billion after contracting by more than 7% the year prior... The decline in 2019 marks a continued slide from a high point in 2017... The declines are at least in part the result of U.S. tariffs and retaliatory tariffs enacted by China.

We do not have separate data on suicides among farmers, nor do we have data more recent than 2019. But we do have analyses reporting the dramatic increase in rural suicides from Forbes, Newsweek, The Atlantic and The New Republic. These draw on data and testimony from the National Farmers Union, the American Farm Bureau, clinical psychologists and others.

Overall, male suicides increased gradually through the Obama years, from 19.0 per 100,000 men to 21.3 in 2016. These have accelerated since, jumping to 22.4 in 2017 and 22.8 in 2018. How many of these are farmers is not certain. An educated estimate based on the limited available data is that around 1,600 farmers have taken their lives as a result of Trump’s trade wars.

Mortality in the United States is clearly greatest in those communities which have embraced Trump’s destructive values. Why they have done so is not so clear.

Mike Rosmann, a clinical psychologist specialising in farmer stress in Iowa, does not know either:

Farmers are becoming dismayed about the tariffs. He knew that he needed to take care of people who voted for him and the farm population, by and large, voted for him. But Trump administration policies fly in the face of what is needed... I don’t understand why farmers support him, or why many people support him, because what he’s doing actually hurts them.

Trump will soon quit the Presidency. We shall then see if this ends his deadly influence on the Republican Party and the nation.

Alan Austin’s defamation matter is nearly over. You can read an update HERE and contribute to the crowd-funding campaign HEREAlan Austin is an Independent Australia columnist and freelance journalist. You can follow him on Twitter @AlanAustin001

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