The full effects of climate change are nearly upon us. We can't afford to keep arguing about it.
The battle for climate change mitigation is euphemistically referred to as a “debate” among ideologically-restrained political advocates that still think there are legitimate reasons to deny the existence of global warming.
When opinions replace facts in a "post-truth" world, the result is that confusion and ideology reign inappropriately in society. The increasing occurrence among Western nations of the populist right, fascism and the rejection of science have colluded to generate a new dark age.
Climate change denialists in power include Donald Trump in the U.S. and Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil. The President of Turkey, Recep Erdoğan, has a problem with the Paris Agreement. And in the scheme of things, our own PM, Scott Morrison isn't much better, either.
The Sea of Opinions
Like fish swimming in the water, human social exchange swims in a sea of opinions. Facebook, Twitter and online commentary in the news media are awash in emotionally-charged views fought with passionate debates, populist rhetoric and ad hominem arguments.
The truth may emerge but catching glimmers of it is as elusive as panning for gold.
The other day after some back and forwards over the subject of immigration, my temporary antagonist finally resorted to saying, “I think we have to agree to disagree on this one". At which point I replied, “We do indeed”, and more or less left the conversation with him. It fell into a case of a civil agreement, to disagree.
Isn’t it all just a matter of opinion?
The Olive Curse
Well no. For example, my wife loves olives and I hate them. It’s my opinion that olives are a curse rendered on humanity by unkind gods sent to torture one’s palate. My belief about olives is a matter of opinion. The only consequence is when I get a salad with olives, I pass them to my wife’s plate.
She thinks they are a blessing that I am prepared to fork over, whenever I encounter them.
Apart from our culinary differences, there are many other times opinions matter and have more serious consequences.
I spent the afternoon of Friday the 30th of November with my son at the #StrikeForClimate protest in Sydney. My son – after canvassing his schoolmates who were unaware of the rally – was worried that hardly anyone would turn up. When we turned the corner from George St into Martin place, I pointed up at the massive crowds of thousands of kids and said, “have a look, you think no one is turning up now?" He muttered something incomprehensible, but I noted the smile emerging on his face.
A Sequence of Events
There are opinions that climate change is a natural cycle of events for which humans bear no causal responsibility. Other opinions blame humankind’s waste and dirty extractive industries. Unfortunately, the opinions have vastly significant consequences, not the least of which may be the end of civilisation as we know it. Dramatic, yes, but the sequences of the events have already begun.
As temperatures rocket and “hottest on record” becomes a catchphrase:
- Coastal regions are swamped;
- Agricultural crops fail;
- Food shortages escalate;
- Numbers of climate refugees swell;
- Plant, insect and animal life permanently migrate;
- Consequential diseases emerge in areas never encountered before;
- The health and welfare of the planet’s human inhabitants are endangered.
Another opinion such as Scott Morrison’s idea that spending money on a climate change fund is “nonsense” fly in the face of concerns by other nations.
If Morrison’s scepticism were true, it would mean there is nothing we can do about stopping climate change. If Morrison’s opinions are false, then there is everything that we can do to stop it.
So these sorts of opinions matter enormously. In these cases, you don’t have a right to your personal opinion divorced from truth, if the fate of the entire world hangs in the balance. Especially if your erroneous view affects what actions we take.
As indeed it does in the case of the conservative Government who are beholden to wealthy extractive industry leaders who financially support their opinions to profit in the short-term.
When my late (small-l liberal) father argued against anthropomorphic climate change with me, I asked him, “on what planet is it a good thing to pollute your environment?” While he conceded the point, there is always the sense of condescension that the older folk have to the previous generation. None so apparent as the criticism of young people skipping school. They were castigated by politicians before their protest over the lack of climate change mitigation had even begun.
Follow the History and Money
Despite this, our children took to the streets around the nation in protest of the destruction of their future. They have no ties to corporate ideology nor are they being paid off by extractive industry donations.
It is a truth that the extractive industries knew about the problems with CO2 and overheating the planet for decades. The extractive industries were predicting the effects of industrial pollution on heating our climate in the 1980s. Despite years of research and technology advances and scrutiny over 40 years, our scientific research has done nothing else but confirm what Shell and Exxon knew and then actively falsely denied.
So it is way past time we had our kids still shouting about it in the streets. There is nothing temporary or theoretical about the findings: these have been confirmed!
We should have legislated against polluting industries decades ago. Our failure to commit to climate change mitigation should be a criminal offence.
This resistance is hardly the first or last battle the scientific community will have with uneducated or compromised opinions.
Who recalls a very similar “debate” over whether or not smoking causes cancer?
U.S. tobacco companies were well aware of tobacco’s effects on health in the same manner Exxon was about climate change. Yet it denied it publically for years. These companies fought every attempt to speak the truth.
It is only in the last few years that these companies have been dragged kicking and screaming into public self-confession. As the truth has diminished their market, tobacco companies are moving into new smoking markets as Altria is in talks to buy the Cronos group.
Therein lies new issues for another discussion.
Vaccinations have saved lives and eradicated entire diseases from the spectrum of deadly and disabling ailments on this planet. Yet, the anti-science brigade of anti-vaxxers are expressing opinions which threaten the safety of the greater community and again, our children.
Your right to an opinion
If your opinion doesn’t align with the reality, then you need to get out of the way. I would argue that you don’t have a right to hold that opinion and prevent necessary risk mitigation that is going to save lives.
Unfortunately, this is what our errant Government is doing and our kids stood up to be counted as opposition on Friday. When it is the children (not the adults) in the U.S. who are the ones standing up to archaic gun laws because they are averse to being killed, what does this say of the older generation?
Similarly, it is children in Australia that dare to stand up and protest because they too want a future beyond the lifetime of greedy, corrupt old men who want to die rich.
Who are the adults now?
So no, there are times when you don’t have a right to your opinion and the current race to save humanity from climate change is one of those times. It is – on the other hand – way past time to stand up and be counted.
You can follow John Haly on Twitter @halyucinations or on his blog at auswakeup.info.
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